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VanEck: Recommends allocating 1-3% of the portfolio to BTC, which could rise to $2.9 million by 2050.
Deep Tide TechFlow News, January 9th, according to a VanEck report, under the baseline scenario, the price of Bitcoin is expected to reach $2.9 million by 2050, with an annual compound growth rate of 15% from the current price. The model assumes that Bitcoin will account for 5-10% of global trade and become a reserve asset accounting for 2.5% of central bank balance sheets.
In the optimistic scenario, if Bitcoin accounts for 20% of global trade and 10% of GDP, its price could reach $53.4 million, with an annual compound growth rate of 29%; under the conservative scenario, Bitcoin’s annual growth rate is only 2%, and the price would reach approximately $130,000.
VanEck recommends allocating 1-3% of a diversified investment portfolio to Bitcoin, with high-risk tolerance investors potentially allocating up to 20%. Research indicates that Bitcoin, as a non-sovereign reserve asset, can hedge against currency devaluation risks, especially in developed markets facing high sovereign debt.