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On the battlefield of asset allocation, a silent contest is unfolding.
Gold, backed by central bank vaults and geopolitical struggles, has become a fortress of traditional safe-haven assets thanks to its stable real interest rates. During trade frictions and the onset of dollar debt crises, it always serves as the last line of defense. This historical depth makes it highly revered by giants like Dalio, with volatility as steady as mountain ranges, providing reassurance to cautious allocators.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is redefining "hedging" in a different way. It has no physical form but possesses censorship resistance, with supply rigidity that even surpasses gold. Crucially, as Bitcoin's correlation with Nasdaq gradually loosens, it begins to dance to the rhythm of global liquidity. At this point, it is no longer just a digital game for speculators but a new vessel of value—challenging authority with "silicon-based scarcity" and pre-approving future trust through leveraged positions with low allocations.
Honestly, Bitcoin is still in the ambiguous zone between "risk and safe-haven." Its enormous volatility pulses like an anxious heartbeat of new life, causing many to retreat. In extreme left-tail risk events, gold acts as a defensive shield, while Bitcoin resembles more of a gamble on the future.
So, this is not a war of either/or but a dual insurance about the transformation of human trust. Gold guards yesterday’s warmth, while Bitcoin explores the boundaries of tomorrow. Both serve their roles, each with its own domain.