#美国贸易赤字状况 January 14 Trading Strategy Sharing

What has the market been waiting for recently? To be honest, there have been many macroeconomic fluctuations, but let's focus on what directly impacts the crypto world—the Federal Reserve's movements. Powell is set to step down in May, which means the monetary policy direction for 2026 is still a big question mark. This is currently the greatest uncertainty risk in the bullish market.

That said, from a macro perspective, $BTC and $ETH still have room to grow, and there’s no reason to be pessimistic about the long-term trend. However, markets never move in a straight line; short-term opportunities and risks often come from these fluctuations. Short-term traders know that timing, rhythm, and market sentiment are all crucial, so even if you're bullish on the long-term, you must remain vigilant for short-term pullbacks.

Looking at the charts: $BTC has surged sharply on the daily chart in the past two days. Yesterday’s large bullish candle broke through previous resistance levels, showing strong bullish momentum. The hourly chart is also oscillating higher, with higher lows and higher highs, but after this continuous surge, signals of short-term correction are beginning to appear.

What do technical indicators say? The hourly MACD histogram is expanding, indicating that bullish momentum is still building, but the DIF and DEA lines are approaching overbought territory, showing signs of divergence. The daily MACD has formed a golden cross and continues to diverge, maintaining a solid bullish trend signal. The hourly RSI has broken above 70 into overbought territory, increasing short-term correction pressure. The daily RSI is between 60-70, leaving room for further upward movement.

Regarding moving averages: The hourly EMA is forming a standard bullish arrangement, with the price steadily rising along the EMA7, which can serve as a short-term support level. The daily EMA also shows a typical bullish alignment, clearly indicating a long-term bullish outlook.

Trading Suggestions:
$BTC: Short between 95800-96800, target 93200-94200
$ETH: Short between 3360-3400, target 3240-3280

Remember, this is based on short-term rhythm considerations and does not change the overall long-term trend judgment.