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THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL BE EXTREMELY VOLATILE FOR THE MARKETS! 📈📉📊
🔥Two critical developments that could shake US markets are coming almost back-to-back. Both have the power to reverse the direction in seconds. US Supreme Court (SCOTUS) Tariff Decision
✨Are the Trump administration's extensive global tariffs (mostly implemented under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act - IEEPA) legal? The court may deliver its final verdict on this – and the decision could be announced at any moment, even tomorrow morning. In the Polymarket forecast market, the probability of the court finding Trump's tariffs illegal (i.e., canceling them) is priced at approximately 73% (meaning the chance of a decision in favor of Trump is only around 27%).
👉If the court cancels the tariffs: A large portion of the over $600 billion in tariff revenue collected during the Trump era may have to be returned. This creates a massive deficit in the Treasury, potentially bringing trillions of dollars in additional financial burden (including supply chain restructuring, lost contracts, etc.).
⚠️Market impact: A sudden risk-off move, sharp sell-offs in stocks, rising bond yields, and liquidity squeeze are expected. Trump's "WE'RE SCREWED" warning also shows the seriousness of this scenario.
✨Vice President's Speech (prominent speakers include Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin)
These speeches, which are normally routine, now have a completely different meaning:
The ongoing criminal investigation against Fed Chairman Jerome Powell (over the headquarters renovation and his testimony to Congress) is creating a huge uproar in the markets. Trump's pressure on Fed independence is at its peak. If the speakers give any dovish signals, there will be short-term relief, but it may be followed by sharp sell-offs due to fears of a financial crisis. If a hawkish and pro-independence tone emerges: Interest rate expectations rise, and risky assets (stocks, crypto) will instantly dump.
⚠️Why is this so dangerous?
The market seems to be pricing in both scenarios "cleanly": tariffs either remain or are quietly lifted. However, the refund scenario is not being properly priced in. If the $600 billion in capital flow reverses, this could trigger a financial crisis – especially when combined with political pressure on the Fed. Extreme volatility is inevitable. Shrink your positions, keep your stop-losses tight, and stay in cash. These 24 hours could be one of the craziest days of 2026. Risk management is paramount.