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Here's how I'm planning to hit $1 million in 2026 starting from scratch.
The math is actually straightforward. I'm kicking things off with just $1K and building from there. My approach centers on disciplined risk management—I risk only 3% on each trade, which keeps losses manageable even during rough stretches.
The real edge comes from my risk-to-reward ratio. I'm targeting 1:3 on every setup, meaning I win three dollars for every dollar I risk. Combined with a 40% win rate, that's +6R per week in expected value. Doesn't sound like much? Watch what happens when you compound it.
I'm planning 10 trades weekly, which puts me right at that +6R sweet spot. That translates to roughly 18% weekly growth when compounded. Over 52 weeks, even accounting for variance and inevitable drawdowns, the trajectory looks solid.
The key isn't fancy indicators or chasing every pump. It's position sizing, sticking to your R:R rules, and trusting the process when things get choppy. Most traders blow up because they swing for the fences on single trades. Once you lock in that edge and let compounding do its work, things shift.
Obviously, real trading won't follow the math exactly—slippage, emotions, market conditions matter. But if you can maintain that discipline and keep your win rate honest, the numbers work.