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Over the past 24 hours, #Dogecoin has increased by 9.07%, recovering from the decline over the last 7 days (-0.83%) and continuing to follow the 30-day upward trend (+11.1%). Key growth factors:

Optimism regarding regulation – progress on the CLARITY law has boosted confidence in altcoins.
Inflow of funds into ETFs – spot DOGE ETFs showed a 2290% increase in fund inflows over the month.
Technical breakthrough – bullish patterns and accumulation by large players indicate further growth.

Detailed Analysis

1. Optimism in Regulation (positive factor)

Overview:
The US Senate Banking Committee advanced the CLARITY law (CCN), which clarifies cryptocurrency oversight rules. Under this law, Dogecoin is likely to be classified as a commodity under the jurisdiction of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This reduces regulatory uncertainty — one of the main barriers for institutional investors.

What it means:
The law, scheduled for adoption on January 15, 2026, could accelerate DOGE’s integration into regulated financial products such as ETFs and derivatives. Historically, regulatory clarity has preceded institutional investment inflows, as seen with Bitcoin after ETF approval.

Points to watch:
Final text of the law and guidance from the SEC and CFTC after adoption.

2. ETF fund inflows and futures activity (positive factor)

Overview:
Spot DOGE ETFs (Grayscale GDOG, Bitwise BWOW) attracted $4.28 million in January — a 2290% increase compared to December. Open interest in futures reached $1.7 billion (+35% since November).

What it means:
Rising demand for ETFs indicates growing trust among institutional investors, and increasing open interest in futures reflects active bets on continued growth. Meanwhile, the DOGE turnover ratio over 24 hours (6.68%) is significantly higher than Bitcoin’s (1.85%), indicating high retail trader activity.

Points to watch:
Steady fund inflows into ETFs exceeding $5 million per week and maintaining open interest above $1.6 billion.

3. Technical and on-chain signals (mixed effect)

Overview:
DOGE broke out of a three-month descending wedge, and the Supertrend indicator turned bullish. Large holders (wallets with more than 1 million DOGE) increased their holdings by 120 million coins over 48 hours (~$18 million).

What it means:
Price targets: $0.172 (Fibonacci level 38.2%) and $0.2095 (October 2025 high).
Risks: RSI14 at 48.6 suggests potential for growth, but the 200-day moving average ($0.193) could act as a significant resistance.

Points to watch:
Closing above $0.157 (January 13 high) will confirm a bullish impulse.

Conclusion

Dogecoin’s rally is supported by macroeconomic factors (mild inflation data, rate cut expectations), regulatory progress, and technical signals. While meme coins typically mirror Bitcoin’s movements, today DOGE is outperforming BTC (+3.3%) and ETH (+3.7%), indicating rotation into altcoins. The key question: can DOGE sustain its growth if the CLARITY law is delayed? It’s important to monitor the support zone of $0.145–$0.15 to assess short-term confidence.
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