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## Silver Price Under Pressure: XAG/USD Approaching the $80 Mark – What Traders Need to Know Now
While silver fluctuates around the $80.15 level during Wednesday's Asian trading hours, signs of profit-taking are increasing. After the impressive rally in recent days, market participants are securing their positions – a classic pattern ahead of a data-rich trading weekend.
## Macro Countdown: ISM Services and Job Data as Game-Changers
The retreat of the silver price is less panic than tactical caution. With the ISM Services PMI on Wednesday and the crucial US employment report on Friday, two potential market movers are imminent. Analysts from AktivTrades warn: A surprisingly strong jobs report could boost the US dollar – putting pressure on silver, as the commodity is quoted in dollars. The expectation: 55,000 new jobs in December with the unemployment rate falling (from 4.6% to 4.5%).
## Rate Cut Bets Support the Bottom: The Silver Safety Net
A crucial safety net protects silver from deeper declines – the ongoing rate cut fantasies. According to CME FedWatch tools, the market prices an 82% chance of unchanged interest rates at the Fed meeting on January 27/28. This expectation keeps demand for interest-free precious metals like silver stable. For comparison: Gold prices also show a similar dynamic – both precious metals benefit from rate cut rhetoric.
## Geopolitics as a Wildcard: The Venezuela Effect
An underestimated factor supports traditional safe-haven assets. Recent tensions around Venezuela – with US military involvement on Saturday and the arrest of President Nicolás Maduro – are driving refugee funds into safe havens. Precious metals are classic crisis buffers, and this geopolitical shock could limit further sell-offs.
## Conclusion: Silver Price at a Critical Point – Not Over Yet
XAG/USD is currently balancing between technical pullback and fundamental support. As long as the Fed rate cut bets remain and the Venezuela scenario fuels safe-haven demand, a sharp downward explosion is likely limited. The real test comes on Friday: if US job data come in significantly stronger than expected, silver prices could come under pressure – a strong dollar would then be the enemy of the precious metal.