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Tonight at 21:30, the US weekly initial jobless claims data will be released.
Previous value: 200,000; market expectation: 205,000; slight increase expected.
The core focus of this data remains on reflecting the strength of the labor market:
If the released figure exceeds expectations, it indicates a cooling of employment momentum, which in the short term benefits risk asset sentiment recovery;
If it is below or close to the previous value, it suggests that employment remains relatively strong, with limited room for interest rate declines, and risk assets may continue to be under pressure.
It is important to note that the current market is still in a phase of oscillation and recovery, with data mainly serving as a catalyst for sentiment rather than a sign of trend reversal.
Avoid rushing to trade based on the data or betting on the direction; wait for the results to materialize and observe how prices respond, then follow the trend accordingly—this is a prudent trading approach.
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