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📉 January 30, 2026 SOL Core Conclusion: Short-term bears dominate, oversold conditions suggest a rebound demand. Initially watch the 120-122 zone for contention; if broken, look for a move down to 116/110. If stabilized, test 126/130.
1. Key Levels (USD)
- Support: 120 (intraday key), 116 (intraday low), 110 (strong support)
- Resistance: 122 (first rebound target), 126, 130 (strong resistance)
2. Technical Signals
1. Trend and Moving Averages: Daily breaks below EMA50, short-term bearish dominance; hourly/4-hour moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with clear suppression.
2. Oscillation and Volume: Weakening along the short-term downtrend line, shrinking volume, raising doubts about the sustainability of the rebound.
3. Indicators: RSI@E6@≈28, RSI@E12@≈31, oversold, indicating technical rebound potential; MACD bearish momentum continues, no clear bottom divergence observed.
4. Pattern: Intraday break below 120 support, watch for whether an effective breakdown forms (confirmation needed on daily chart).
3. Trading Strategy
- Short-term: A light position can be taken on a rebound to 122-126, with a stop loss at 128, targeting 120-116; if stabilized near 120, a small long position for a rebound can be considered, with a stop loss at 115, targeting 124-126.
- Mid-term: Mainly observe, wait for daily chart stabilization or volume reversal signals; if broken below 110, further bearish outlook to 100-95.
- Risk Management: Position size ≤30%, strict stop-loss, avoid chasing highs and selling lows.