【$ARB Signal】Hold and Observe — Downtrend Continuation, Waiting for Clear Direction

$ARB After a sustained decline, the price enters a narrow consolidation, being suppressed below the EMA20 (0.1108), showing a typical downtrend continuation pattern. Depth imbalance indicates buy orders are accumulating (+9.14%), but mostly passive orders, with insufficient active buying interest (buy/sell ratio only 0.47-0.51).

🎯 Direction: Hold

Market Analysis: On the 4H timeframe, the price is consolidating with decreasing volume in the 0.1059-0.1076 range, indicating both bulls and bears are in wait-and-see mode. RSI (36.59) is in the weak zone but not oversold, lacking rebound momentum.

Logical Core: The key contradiction is that open interest (OI) remains stable while the price is gradually declining. Coupled with a positive funding rate (0.0023%), this is not a short squeeze scenario but more like longs slowly cutting losses or the main players gently distributing. The EMA20 above and the 0.1100-0.1128 zone form a dense resistance area. Until a volume breakout occurs, any rebound is an opportunity to reduce positions.

Risk Control Perspective: Currently, the price is in a chaotic zone. Although there is strong depth support around 0.1065, a break below the previous low of 0.1059 could trigger stop-losses from longs, accelerating the decline. The risk-reward ratio is unclear, and the win rate is insufficient. The best strategy is to wait for the price to choose a direction.

Trade 👇 $ARB

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