[Red Envelope] (319) Major Market Selloff, Consolidation at High and Low Levels, Is Tomorrow an Opportunity?

This market never lacks opportunities; what’s missing is the calm patience and clear self-awareness. Look inward, only then can you anchor your direction amid fluctuations. Wait for the wind, follow the trend, and let compound interest work its magic. [Taogu Ba]

The core of trading is not frequent transactions but safeguarding your mind, not being easily influenced by market volatility. Stick to your plan, plan your trades, and multiply your position size based on your win rate and odds, perfecting your trading system.

Slow down, move forward steadily—that’s true speed; after all, flowing water doesn’t compete to be first, it strives to flow endlessly.

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This replay explains the chip game, capital strategies, and buy/sell opportunities, as taught by the stock-farming teacher.

Listen patiently to the recording—you’ll definitely gain something.

Like before reading, always profit long-term! Watch while liking, keep your thoughts clear—thanks!

1. Market Trend
   “When the market is falling with 5,000 stocks, and you’re losing money, still pondering what you did wrong—don’t obsess; that’s not your problem.”
   This is a joke I saw today, quite interesting, just to give everyone some peace of mind.

The intra-day closing of CSI 1000, CSI 500, and CSI 2000 shows breakdowns, with some slight pullback at the close. The sudden escalation of US-Iran tensions has caused a significant change in market dynamics.

Sharing some of yesterday’s judgments about today, some ideas remain unchanged.

Last night, US-Iran tensions intensified, US stocks plunged, futures surged. Looking at futures this morning, despite the rise, the last few minutes saw a sharp dive.

Yesterday’s review post and today’s morning thoughts focus on the market’s inability to break down, with tech stocks under pressure during the decline, creating a golden pit. Recently, tech leadership has been in storage, with Damingli leading within the sector.

Also, avoid sectors closely tied to US-Iran relations; consider integrated electrical computing, which can detach from US-Iran influence and avoid falsehoods. Recently, Hongjing Technology led the sector’s rise.

From an emotional perspective, yesterday’s decline was somewhat opportunistic; today, the main view is that high-level sentiment will recover. The group mentality is inherently contrarian, and high-level groupings need emotional support.

At 10:28 AM, there was a summary mentioning too many individual stocks to post here; interested readers can explore further.

The intra-day decline, in fact, the process analysis isn’t very meaningful. Simply put, tech opened lower due to external influence but gradually moved up, though with heavy selling pressure. As the Shanghai Composite hit new lows, the Shenzhen 60-day moving average couldn’t hold, increasing selling pressure, pushing tech stocks down again. Meanwhile, oil & gas, natural gas, and chemicals opened high and, after initial profit-taking, were gradually bought during the market’s decline, then rallied into the close—an opposite relationship to tech stocks.

Tech stocks and chemicals/oil & gas have a clear opposite effect. Early on, the electric synergy sector moved independently stronger but was later dragged down by the index decline, causing some stocks to open lower.

In terms of intra-day limit-ups, among 28 stocks hitting the daily limit:
6 in computing power leasing, 4 first-limit: Copper Bull Information, Guiguang Network, Litong Electronics, Lianhua Holdings
2 second-limit: Aoruite, Meiliyun
5 in power:
Huadian Energy, Lixin New Energy, Guang’an Aizhong
2 second-limit: Yue Electric Power A, Shao Neng Shares
3 wind power:
Dongfang New Energy, Jixin Technology, Huadian Liaoning
Remaining limit-ups include 4 in natural gas, 2 in coal chemicals, and others.

Currently, tech’s main upward trend seems difficult, whether due to annual reports, first-quarter reports before release, or uncertainties from US-Iran tensions.

What about electric synergy? Its logic isn’t invalidated by US-Iran tensions; power has risk-avoidance attributes, and green power is the future energy source—an energy form that can eventually detach from oil & gas.

Sometimes Iran talks about bombing US data centers in the Middle East, which could benefit our country’s computing infrastructure companies and collaborations with Nvidia or others building in the Middle East. Iran’s stance is shifting from neutrality to alignment with us.

Besides electric synergy, keep an eye on the main upward trend.

Also, note the group mentality: Jin Kai New Energy’s stock was hit today due to the invalidation of the group logic or capital’s fear of high prices—not solely because of electric synergy. Normal groupings are contrarian, but whether it’s Shun Na or Jin Kai New Energy, after a couple of platform rises, a slight high can cause a sell-off, closely related to current market conditions.

A subtle point: the current market lacks sustainability across sectors. Imagine, if a group of stocks rises but the sector disappears after two days, the stocks in the group will also face pressure.

Post-market reflection suggests Jin Kai New Energy’s drop was related to Kunlun Wanwei’s rise, because Kunlun Wanwei’s logic was independent and supported by the rebound of Zhizhu and Minimax. I mentioned this stock before—any impressions?

Hong Kong stocks Minimax and Zhizhu surged, both top-tier large models. Foreign OpenAI’s valuation is $800 billion; many domestic large models perform well and often top foreign rankings. Compared to OpenAI, Minimax and Zhizhu are cheap.

I previously mentioned two stocks: Kunlun Wanwei and Jiu An Medical. Jiu An Medical holds over 10% of Kimi, valued at $18 billion, also a top large model. Recently, Jiu An Medical’s stock has nearly doubled—here’s a chart (everyone’s hyped, but who hasn’t sold too early?).

Kunlun Wanwei, iFlytek, and 360 are the only three A-share companies with large models, but their models are second-tier.

Kunlun Wanwei’s recent rise was due to its Skyreals V4 model topping international rankings, confirming it’s in the top echelon. Its rebound from oversold levels, combined with independent logic, can support a short-term rally similar to Zhizhu, Minimax, and Jiu An Medical, especially at low levels unaffected by US-Iran tensions. This high-low group logic fits well.

This is just sharing logic and thoughts; future trends need validation.

The real value lies in the review posts and in the thinking shared in the comments to help fellow investors.

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2. Market Expectations
   The market is unstable; watch tech stocks carefully. During ongoing US-Iran tensions, tech, oil & gas, and chemicals all have variables.
   US and Iran’s fluctuating messages can cause trading frictions.
   Tomorrow, observe the sustainability of electric synergy; it’s been two days. Currently, the high level of electric synergy isn’t very convincing. Check if Huadian Liaoning’s small stocks can break through 100%. Yunnan Energy Control made a move at the close.

Also, be cautious of stocks with over 5 billion in turnover at high positions; if they suddenly drop, it’s hard to contain selling pressure, and capital may rush out.

Tomorrow’s market could go either way. If it drops, the Shanghai Index’s support is the half-year line, and Shenzhen’s is 13,700. The Shanghai might even fill the gap below the half-year line. Look for low entries in familiar tech stocks that you’ve sold before. Wait for trend confirmation before entering, even if at a higher cost.

If it rises, watch today’s high and the 5-day moving average on the Shanghai; for Shenzhen, the 60-day moving average is a key resistance.

3. Market Style
   Tech and oil & gas/chemicals are on a seesaw; the market tends to group stocks, but without high levels, rotation focus remains to be seen.

4. Data Presentation
   Coming soon.

5. Random Notes—

And keep encouraging! For short-term trading, if you haven’t achieved stable profits over six months, it’s advisable to reduce your positions. This is for those who are willing to listen. I hope everyone gets better and more stable—making money!

Remember to like and comment! Thanks to those who supported Yu Nian yesterday!

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May the encouraging and tipping bosses in the future market stay calm amid K-line fluctuations, make steady progress in logical judgment, and win step by step amid emotional changes! Wishing everyone great wealth! Thanks also to friends who liked and supported!

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Waiting for opportunities requires the ability to recognize them. This involves long hours of watching the market, cultivating intuition, trading systems, and the 10,000-hour rule. No rush. If you have questions, ask—I’ll answer here.