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Silver Market Analysis 2026.04.08

Major Cycle Bottoming Rules: Long-term positive news + medium- to short-term black swan events = an excellent buying opportunity

Silver is a very special asset with dual attributes: when interest rates decline and traders & investors seek higher returns, it is viewed as an investment asset; at other times, it is a highly demanded industrial metal. Among these, the demand from artificial intelligence data centers is one of the key positive drivers.

The tweet on 4.6 also provided a fundamental analysis, indicating that the structural shortage of silver is unlikely to change within the next six years, and this issue will become more pronounced after this year. Therefore, in the medium-term, there will be good opportunities to buy the dip in silver, but in the short term, the timing is not yet right.

From a technical perspective, silver has been rebounding from 60.8, with two possible paths based on its rebound levels:

Blue Path: If silver cannot break through the blue resistance zone (around 80) and experiences a significant pullback, then this is a rebound against the downward trend shown in the blue segment. After the rebound ends, there will be another decline of similar magnitude, and silver may fall below 60.8.

Red Path: If silver successfully breaks above 80 and stabilizes, it will challenge the resistance at 83.6. Only if it can break through this level convincingly can we consider this a rebound against the entire downward trend shown in red. In this case, the subsequent move would be a correction, with no need to break below 60.8. Currently, this requirement seems a bit strict.

Regardless of the path, the rebound starting from 60.8 will eventually end, followed by a new decline. If you were caught in a position earlier, this month might be one of your few opportunities to exit the position. Make the most of it.