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The key to the door of wealth is given to you 🤲 Ten years of holding the warehouse, 3650 days | Check-in Day 36
⚠️ Serious correction: Ceasefire completely failed, situation worsened (10:29 real-time)
Real situation: The 14-day ceasefire reached on April 8 between the US and Iran has fully broken down
- Israeli military continues bombing Lebanon, 182 people dead
- Iran accuses violations of the ceasefire, the Strait of Hormuz is closed again
- Iran oil refinery attacked, both sides blame each other, no ceasefire enforcement
- Risk aversion remains high, markets rally then fall back, intense volatility
📊 BTC real-time (Gate.io 10:29)
- Current price: $69,842
- 24h: -1.78% (High $72,716, Low $68,680)
- Support: $69,000 → $68,200 (Strong defense)
- Resistance: $71,000 → $72,000 (Rebound pressure)
📊 ETH real-time (Gate.io 10:29)
- Current price: $2,108
- 24h: -2.91% (High $2,273, Low $2,060)
- Support: $2,080 → $2,020 (Key level)
- Resistance: $2,180 → $2,250 (Overbought zone)
🔍 Market truth
- 24h liquidation: $598 million, shorts $431 million (short squeeze yesterday, retraced today)
- Ceasefire purely verbal, no implementation, risk aversion fluctuates, volatility remains high
- Short-term: rally lacks strength, increased oscillation, news is highly unstable
⚠️ Risk control (strict)
- BTC drops below $68,200, ETH drops below $2,020 → rebound ends
- Conflict escalation → rapid plunge
- Strategy: light positions in both directions, Gamma harvesting, no chasing orders
Pure market analysis, not investment advice
#Gamma策略 #波动率交易