You thought the ceasefire was the start of a bull market, but it was just an opportunity for you to escape the top.

Bitcoin not falling isn’t because it’s not afraid of war, but because something more terrifying is happening — no one knows who will suddenly raise interest rates tomorrow.

A $70k Bitcoin is neither the bottom nor the top. It’s a signal: smart money is waiting, dumb money is rushing in, and retail investors are asking, “Can I still buy?”

The Strait of Hormuz is closed. Are you still holding your position?

What’s next? Let’s talk about some real stuff.

I’m not bragging, and I’m not scaring you.

The reality is:

1. Bitcoin is still in the $65k-$73k range; it’s not a real bull market until it breaks out.

2. The ceasefire agreement may have cracked, but neither side truly wants a full-scale war. Oil prices bounced back to $97, but still haven’t hit $100.

3. The biggest risk remains the central bank policies, especially the Federal Reserve. As long as they say “higher for longer,” risk assets won’t rebound.

My judgment:

In the short term, Bitcoin will fluctuate between 68k and 73k.

If the ceasefire completely breaks down, it could retest 67k or even 65k.

But if it can hold above 68k for more than two weeks, that’s a real sign of strength.

My advice to everyone:

- Don’t chase highs, don’t FOMO.

- Don’t go all-in on a news event.

- Don’t sell in panic because of a news headline.

- Patience is more valuable than cleverness in today’s market.

Bitcoin is still Bitcoin; what’s changing is your greed.

A 24-hour ceasefire breach is nothing.

If your position blows up in 24 hours, that’s real trouble.

Stay steady, don’t be reckless. #Gate广场四月发帖挑战 $BTC