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How to Capture a Large Unilateral Trend
The key to catching a big unilateral move is: determine the direction on the larger cycle, find entry points on the smaller cycle, implement strict stop-loss + trailing stop, and use position management to lock in profits. Follow these four steps to execute.
1. First, Assess the Trend (Large Cycle Determines Direction)
- Look at the weekly/daily charts: Higher highs + higher lows indicate a bull trend; vice versa for a bear trend; moving average alignment (e.g., MA60/MA120) further confirms.
- Filter out consolidation: When weekly/daily charts repeatedly fluctuate within a range without clear highs and lows, stay out of the market or hold a light position.
2. Then, Find Entry Points (Small Cycle Entry)
- Bullish: Daily pullback to MA20/MA30 or trendline, with bullish engulfing candles or no new lows signaling a reversal.
- Bearish: Daily rebound to MA20/MA30 or descending trendline, with bearish engulfing candles or no new highs indicating stagnation.
- True Breakout: Volume surge + close above key levels (previous high/low, round numbers), with a retest that holds to enter more safely.
3. Ironclad Risk Control (Stop-Loss and Take-Profit)
- Always set a stop-loss before entry: fixed stop-loss at technical levels (below previous low/trendline) or ATR 2x; risk per trade should not exceed 2% of total capital.
- Trailing Take-Profit: move stop-loss to previous low or follow moving averages to lock in profits; hold as long as the trend remains intact, avoiding predicting tops.
- Time-based Stop-Loss: if the breakout doesn’t continue within 3 days, close regardless of profit or loss to avoid being trapped by choppiness.
4. Position Management (Decide Life or Death)
- Pyramid adding: start with 10% for trial, confirm before adding; total position should not exceed 30%, with smaller positions as the trend advances.
- Red line discipline: avoid over-leverage and all-in bets; do not average down on losing trades; after stop-loss, wait for the next signal.
5. Practical Trading Motto (Remember in One Sentence)
Follow the principle of “Buy on divergence, sell on consensus,” trade lightly for trial, add on pullbacks, cut losses on breakdowns, trail stops, buy on divergence, sell on consensus.
6. Quick Self-Check List
1. Is the weekly/daily trend clear?
2. Is the entry on a support/resistance level on the small cycle with confirmation signals?
3. Is the stop-loss fixed and within 2% of capital?
4. Is position adding following pyramid rules, with total position within limits?
5. Is there a time-based stop-loss mechanism?
Write these rules into your personal trading rule card. Follow the checklist for every trade. Only then can you confidently hold onto big unilateral moves when they arrive. $ETH $BTC