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The sharp increase in Crude Oil (WTI) by approximately 7% in one day demonstrates that the oil market remains highly sensitive to geopolitical risks. Despite the formal ceasefire between Iran and the US, the actual restrictions on tanker movements through the Strait of Hormuz create serious disruptions in global supply chains. It is through this narrow maritime corridor that a significant portion of the world's oil exports pass, so any delays immediately trigger a spike in prices.
For the market, this signals an increased risk premium: traders are pricing in potential supply disruptions. If the tanker passage situation does not normalize, oil may remain volatile, which will also affect inflation expectations and financial markets overall. In such an environment, investors may more frequently turn to safe-haven assets, including gold and sometimes cryptocurrencies.
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