Trade Review | 2026.04.10

1. Brief Overview of Market Structure
Current price 2205.324H level is near the upper edge of the major central zone, after a strong rally, it enters a correction; 1H level retraced from the 2273 high, in the adjustment phase after an upward move, with bearish divergence at the top and downward momentum releasing; 15F level weakening simultaneously, completing a full downward move from the 2273 high, currently in a secondary rebound stage, without forming a new upward structure.
2. Multi-Timeframe Structure Analysis
1. 4-Hour Level (Major Trend Direction)
Structural characterization: The large-scale oscillation since the 2385.78 high, with current price near the upper boundary of the central zone 2200-2230, after a strong rally, entering a correction; overall still in a large central zone oscillation, no trend reversal yet.
Key evolution: Price broke through the upper boundary of the previous central zone but failed to continue rising, showing a pullback at high levels, a normal correction after an uptrend. The major trend direction is not yet clearly bearish, remaining in a oscillation pattern.
2. 1-Hour Level (Medium Cycle Rhythm)
Structural characterization: The 1H upward move starting from the 1936.54 low, with clear bearish divergence at the 2273 high, currently in the first downward move after the upward move, with downward momentum still releasing, no clear bottom formation.
Key evolution: Corresponds to the high-level correction on the 4H, the 1H is in a correction phase after the rise. If the downward move completes, it will form a secondary buy on the 1H level, creating a new structural opportunity; if it directly breaks below the previous central zone lower boundary, it will confirm the continuation of the correction.
3. 15-Minute Level (Small Cycle Details)
Structural characterization: The 15F strong upward move from the 2020.61 low, with bearish divergence at the 2273 high, then a complete downward move, currently in a secondary rebound after the decline, internal rebound within the 1H downward move, a consolidation structure.
Key evolution: If the rebound cannot break through the 2230-2240 resistance, it will continue the 1H downward move, testing support at 2180-2190; if it breaks through strongly, it will trigger a bottom formation on the 1H, opening a new upward move.
3. Key Resistance and Support Levels
Table: 4H 2230-2250 (previous high + upper boundary of central zone), 2150-2160 (previous central zone upper boundary, support/resistance switch), 1H 2230-2240 (strong rebound resistance), 2180-2190 (target of 1H downward move), 15F 2220-2230 (first resistance of rebound), 2180-2185 (support of 15F downward move)
4. Future Market Movement Scenarios
Strong continuation (low probability): 15F rebound strongly breaks 2230, driving 1H to form a bottom, continuing the 4H upward move, challenging the previous high of 2273.
Countermeasure: Do not chase longs; wait for a correction and stabilization before making decisions; avoid opening new short positions against the trend.
Normal correction (high probability): 15F rebound encounters resistance at 2230, continuing the 1H downward move, testing support at 2180-2190, completing the correction before choosing a direction.
Countermeasure: Wait for the 1H downward move to complete and bottom formation to consider longs; if rebound shows weakness, try short at the 2230-2240 resistance zone.
Deep correction (neutral probability): 1H downward move directly breaks below 2180, testing support at 2150-2160, confirming the continuation of the 4H high-level correction.
Countermeasure: Follow the trend for short positions, avoid bottom fishing, wait for the correction to be in place.
5. Trading Ideas and Discipline
Current position: do not chase longs, do not blindly open shorts: 1H in a downward move, 15F in a rebound continuation, with no absolute advantage for bulls or bears, prioritize observation.
Short opportunity: wait for 15F rebound to 2230-2240 resistance, with bearish divergence + 1H structural resonance, then attempt short, with stop-loss above 2250.
Long opportunity: wait for 1H downward move to complete, bottom formation confirmed, retest support at 2180-2190, then consider longs, with stop-loss below 2170.
Strictly follow trading discipline: maximum 2 trades per day, first loss triggers a daily stop, avoid high-frequency and trial positions, only trade confirmed structures.
Risk control first: high leverage trading must strictly stop-loss, no holding through losses, no adding positions, prioritize protecting capital.
6. Summary
The current market is in a structure of 4H high-level oscillation, 1H correction, and 15F rebound continuation, with intense bulls and bears struggle, no absolute trend opportunity. Respect the market structure, avoid stubborn longs or shorts, only take confirmed opportunities that fit your trading system. Control your hands, manage position sizes, and strictly stop-loss—this is the key to long-term survival.
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