The Federal Reserve has a 98.4% probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged in April.

2026-04-10 13:34:13

Mars Finance reports that, according to Jintiao, CME “Federal Reserve Watch” shows a 1.6% chance of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April, and a 98.4% chance of holding rates steady. By June, the probability of a total 25 basis point rate cut is 1.5%, the chance of keeping rates unchanged is 96.8%, and the probability of a total 25 basis point rate hike is 1.7%.

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