International Observation | Four "Unexpected" Things, the Trump Administration Is Very Anxious

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Reprinted from: Xinhua News Agency

Xinhua News Agency Beijing, April 7 – Title: Four “Unanticipated” Factors, the Trump Administration Is Very Anxious

Xinhua reporters Lin Yan, Hu Guan, Liu Piran

On April 6, U.S. President Trump threatened to launch a large-scale airstrike against Iran’s infrastructure. The day before, he also posted a vulgar rant demanding Iran open the Strait of Hormuz. Observers point out that the Trump administration is “anxious, angry, and exhausted” due to setbacks in the progress of the conflict, and may be “going all out” to escalate the situation further.

The U.S. and Israel have been conducting military strikes against Iran for nearly 40 days. U.S. military superiority has not translated into strategic victory; instead, Iran’s resilience has allowed it to maintain a certain strategic initiative. Multiple misjudgments in decision-making are pushing the Trump government into a difficult strategic dilemma.

Misjudgment One: Underestimating Iran’s Regime Resilience and Domestic Unity

Initially, the Trump administration believed that widespread dissatisfaction among Iranians due to rising domestic prices had shaken the regime’s foundation, and that high-intensity military strikes by the U.S. and Israel would serve as a “catalyst” for regime collapse. On the day of initiating military action against Iran, Trump publicly incited Iranians to overthrow the regime, claiming this was “a once-in-a-generation opportunity.”

After nearly 40 days of fighting, Iran’s regime has demonstrated resilience. U.S. Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines previously admitted that although Iran’s regime has been weakened, it remains “intact.”

Analysts believe Iran’s resilience stems from multiple factors, including domestic politics and national cultural history.

Iran’s regime has always possessed strong organizational and mobilization capabilities. External military pressure has instead strengthened internal cohesion. The killing of top leaders, innocent children dying, and cultural heritage being damaged… U.S. and Israeli military actions have continuously fueled strong nationalist sentiments

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