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Asian stock markets are gradually getting used to the "Trump model": early-week pullbacks are marginally converging, and volatility is being repeatedly priced in.
Mars Finance News, April 13 — Asian stock markets continued their “low opening—recovery” trend on Monday. The Nikkei 225 and KOSPI both experienced significant declines at the start of trading, but the losses quickly narrowed afterward. Since the Iran conflict escalation, Monday’s pullback has shown a decreasing trend: from an initial near-double-digit decline gradually converging to a mild correction range, indicating that the market’s sensitivity to geopolitical shocks is decreasing.
On the trading front, the “Trump model” is being systematically priced in: that is, creating uncertainty through policy signals or tough statements during the week, then restoring expectations over the weekend through easing positions or “result-oriented victories,” prompting a rebound in risk assets. After repeated validation of this framework, traders’ willingness to engage in early-week volatility has declined, selling pressure has marginally eased, and the volatility structure is tending to converge.