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#九月美联储降息预期会是下一波利好吗?
Money markets have increased their bets that the Federal Reserve will ease monetary policy much more than policymakers expect. Shortly thereafter, markets also increased their bets that the European Central Bank will follow the Fed's lead and lower interest rates. Traders currently see a 60% probability of the ECB cutting rates by 50 basis points in September, as the 50 basis point cut by the Federal Reserve in September is fully priced in. At the same time, the probability of the Bank of England cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is increasing. These rate cuts are likely to continue, which will support the purchase of safe-haven bonds amid a general flight from risky assets.
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