Author: XY
Translation: Tim, PANews
Entering the bear market for a year
It took me some time to convince myself: we are in a bear market, and it has been ongoing for about a year.
November 2024 will be a period of market excitement, and the issuance of
$TRUMP pushed the market to extreme euphoria, marking the final狂欢 that no one wants to believe.
Below, I will explain my perspective.
It all started with that old cliché: “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.”
This silly phrase has caused huge misconceptions in market analysis, essentially doing more harm than good.
It led us to develop path dependence and also caused us to lose the ability to question.
Yes, this reliance on historical patterns for prediction is like looking at the world through a prism engraved with old patterns, inevitably leading to misreading the current new reality, and ultimately causing us to overlook the latest driving factors of the market. This is precisely the dangerous root