Gate Research: $70K Line Still Contested, MiCA Fuels EU Stablecoin Buying

2026-04-13 04:04:22
Reading Time: 3m
Last Updated 2026-04-14 03:38:38
Gate Research Daily Report: On April 13, Bitcoin pulled back from weekly highs and chopped between about $70k and $73k. A durable bounce likely needs volume to reclaim key levels, plus confirmation that ETFs and derivatives positioning are steadying. Ether fell more than BTC, with price anchoring lower, so it tends to sell off faster and bounce later. TRADOOR, INX, and XNY led turnover, tied to BSC theme rotation, trading infra, and a small cap data play. Size positions for liquidity and volatility. Sector wise, the 2028 halving is pushing miners toward cost control and new revenue lines. EU firms under MiCA are buying stablecoin payment and clearing more actively. Ether Machine scrapping its Dynamix SPAC deal hit ETH treasury stocks, but it is mostly a sentiment and expectations hit, not a core change to Ethereum fundamentals.

Crypto Market Overview

  • BTC (-2.65% | $71,143.4): BTC has pulled back from its weekly highs and is consolidating under pressure intraday. Over the past 24 hours, it traded between a high of around $73,072.7 and a low of approximately $70,509.7, with continued divergence between bulls and bears around the $70,000 psychological level and overhead resistance. Geopolitical and risk events continue to disrupt risk appetite, leaving BTC pricing more event-sensitive and liquidity-driven. A reversal of the current weakness would require a high-volume reclaim of key moving averages or prior highs, alongside stabilization in slower-moving capital flows such as derivatives funding rates and ETF inflows.

  • ETH (-3.55% | $2,203.14): ETH declined more sharply than BTC, showing a more pronounced high-beta pullback. Its 24-hour range was roughly $2,286.21 to $2,175.17, with elevated volatility and a downward shift in price structure, suggesting limited demand above the $2,200 level. Structurally, ETH remains dependent on BTC-driven risk appetite and ecosystem capital inflows. If BTC continues to trade weakly in a range, ETH is likely to exhibit sharper declines and delayed rebounds.

  • Altcoins: Structural rotation persists, with top performers largely concentrated in high-turnover, narrative-driven tokens. However, it remains critical to distinguish between genuine narratives and purely speculative moves, as ultra-small caps and abnormal spikes carry significant drawdown risk. The Fear and Greed Index remains in extreme fear territory, and risk appetite recovery is uneven, leaving the altcoin market dominated by short-term and theme-based trading.

  • Macro: On April 10, the S&P 500 fell about 0.11% to around 6,816.89, the Dow Jones declined roughly 0.56% to about 47,916.57, while the Nasdaq Composite rose approximately 0.35% to around 22,902.89. Markets are attempting to rebalance across inflation data, Middle East developments, and sector divergence, particularly in semiconductors. As of 9:30 AM UTC+8 on April 13, spot gold traded near $4,650 per ounce, down about 1% over the past 24 hours, continuing to show high-level volatility amid swings in oil prices and shifting geopolitical risk premiums.

TRADOOR Tradoor (+61.95% | Market Cap: $77.09M)

According to Gate market data, TRADOOR is currently trading at around $5.3822, up 61.95% over the past 24 hours. Tradoor is tied to trading and on-chain activity within the BSC ecosystem, with its short-term strength largely driven by narrative rotation and concentrated speculative capital. From a market structure perspective, both volume and volatility have expanded simultaneously, reflecting a typical high-beta setup. If trading volume declines or overall market risk appetite weakens, price action could shift from a one-sided rally to wide-range consolidation or a rapid pullback.

INX Infinex (+42.92% | Market Cap: $68.16M)

According to Gate market data, INX is currently priced at around $0.01828, up 42.92% over the past 24 hours. Infinex is associated with on-chain trading infrastructure and user growth narratives, with the token serving roles in ecosystem incentives and value capture. This rally has been accompanied by increased volatility and active trading, showing clear signs of event-driven and short-term capital pricing. Going forward, it will be important to monitor whether project developments align with broader market sentiment; otherwise, volatility may intensify.

XNY Codatta (+38.30% | Market Cap: $11.23M)

According to Gate market data, XNY is currently trading at around $0.00451, up 38.30% in the past 24 hours. Codatta (XNY) is positioned as a data and application-related asset within the BSC ecosystem. With a relatively small circulating market cap, XNY is more sensitive to sentiment and capital concentration. After a rapid move from lower levels, the absence of sustained fundamental catalysts could lead to sharp volatility following the surge, making it more suitable for short-term trading rather than heavy directional positioning.

Alpha Insights

~2 Years to the 2028 Halving: Miners Enter a High-Cost, Low-Tolerance Preparation Phase

The next Bitcoin halving is expected around April 2028, when block rewards will drop from 3.125 BTC to 1.5625 BTC. With network hash rate at record highs and increasingly complex energy and regulatory environments, miner profit margins are under pressure. Several listed mining companies have adjusted their balance sheets by selling BTC, reducing leverage, and optimizing power and hash rate allocation. Some are also expanding into AI compute and energy infrastructure to diversify revenue streams. For investors, mining equities are shifting from pure BTC beta plays to a more comprehensive valuation framework that incorporates energy efficiency, regulatory positioning, and revenue diversification. While the halving narrative remains relevant, capital discipline and operational capability will drive differentiation.

Under Europe’s MiCA Framework, Banks and Corporates Are Actively Selecting Stablecoin Infrastructure Partners

European institutions are moving from pilot programs to actual procurement in stablecoin adoption. Corporate treasury teams are focused on 24/7 settlement, cross-border cost efficiency, and operational speed, while the MiCA framework provides a relatively unified regulatory boundary. Institutions such as ClearBank Europe have completed relevant licensing setups, and initiatives like the Qivalis euro stablecoin consortium involving ING, UniCredit, CaixaBank, and BBVA, along with Société Générale’s push into on-chain settlement and cash management products, indicate that stablecoins are increasingly being integrated into traditional banking technology stacks. Additionally, some analyses based on long-term projections of stablecoin transaction volumes over the next decade, which depend heavily on adoption assumptions, suggest that markets should clearly distinguish between long-term narratives and near-term validation.

Ether Machine Terminates SPAC Merger with Dynamix: ETH Treasury Narrative Cools

Ether Machine, an Ethereum treasury-focused company, announced the immediate termination of its planned merger with Nasdaq-listed SPAC Dynamix due to deteriorating market conditions. The plan to list under the ticker ETHM and manage over 400,000 ETH has been shelved. Media reports also indicate that some ETH treasury strategy firms are gradually reducing positions or shifting strategies, reflecting pressure on high-valuation ETH holdings and constrained secondary market financing windows under weak sentiment. For ETH itself, the impact is primarily on expectations around public companies accumulating ETH as a capital allocation strategy. On-chain fundamentals and ecosystem development remain the medium- to long-term anchors, but in the short term, risk appetite and leveraged capital continue to dominate price action.
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Author: Kieran
Reviewer(s): Puffy, Akane
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