IMF expects the US debt burden to continue increasing

CycleProphet · 2026-02-26T02:45:32+00:00

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects the US debt burden to continue increasing, with the budget deficit as a percentage of GDP rising back to 6.1% in 2026, and public debt as a percentage of GDP increasing to 100.7%. The IMF also downgraded its forecast for the US's medium-term potential economic growth.

CycleProphet

2026-02-26 02:45:32

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Deep Tide TechFlow News, on February 26, according to Jinshi Data, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) released the Fourth Review of the United States on the 25th, forecasting that the U.S. debt burden will continue to increase in the coming years. The Fourth Review is an annual assessment of member countries’ economic performance and macroeconomic policies by the IMF. The forecast data in the statement indicates that the U.S. federal government budget deficit as a percentage of GDP will decrease to 5.9% in 2025, then rise again to 6.1% in 2026, and are projected to be 6% and 6.3% in 2027 and 2028, respectively. According to the forecast, publicly held federal debt as a percentage of U.S. GDP will rise to 100.7% in 2026 and reach 109.8% by 2031. The statement said that the increase in debt held by the public as a share of GDP and short-term debt as a share of GDP pose increasing risks to the U.S. and the global economy. The IMF expects that, considering the impact of various policy changes, the U.S. real GDP will grow by 2.6% in 2026 and 2.1% in 2027, while the medium-term potential growth rate of the U.S. economy is downgraded by 0.25 percentage points.

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