Power777

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$BTC BTC continues to trade within a broader resistance zone between 72K and 80K. Within this range, aside from taking profits from previous buys, no major macro moves are expected, as there is a high probability of lower highs appearing within this broader area. The April 25th low remains a strong rejection zone that needs to be reclaimed for a potential move toward the high 70Ks and possibly the 80K area, which would be the upper part of our macro range. BTC has also tested the 3D 21EMA for the first time since the recent breakout and could potentially form a 12H bearish divergence within h
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$BTC Global oil markets have become extremely tense due to Middle East conflicts and disruptions in Strait of Hormuz transportation, so IEA member countries are releasing strategic reserves, adding supply to the market to lower oil prices and ease some panic. The IEA also stated that this is the sixth time in its history and the largest-scale coordinated emergency reserve release. This is expected to lower oil prices somewhat for next Monday's forecast.
Looking back at Bitcoin data, today's trading volume increased somewhat, likely due to the war situation. Earlier there were concerns about o
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$BTC had a happy weekend outcome, but although it was happy, I didn't buy even a cent of the dual-currency weekend that I've been investing in. The main reason is that I'm worried about a sudden big drop at any time, which has little to do with the $BTC price. The main concern is the possibility of some unexpected issues during the weekend when liquidity is extremely poor. I was quite worried that after the United States struck Iran's key export hub Hormuz, the oil market was expected to experience another volatile week, and concerns about disruptions in Middle Eastern oil supply intensified.
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$BTC The weekend continues to be overshadowed by the war, but according to Iran, the Strait of Hormuz is only being closed to enemies and their allies. Trump has also stated that multiple countries will jointly send warships with the United States to ensure the Strait of Hormuz remains open. However, from the current situation in the Strait of Hormuz, there are still a large number of ships in a congested state. If the passage is not cleared by the weekend, oil prices are likely to be volatile again on Monday.
Recently, besides oil prices and war, there really isn't anything more important. E
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$BTC These recent moves have all been public ideas
3.8-3.9 Looking at 70k near 6.6
3.10-3.11 715 71250 indicating pullback
3.12-3.13 Indicating 74k
Yesterday indicated 70266 looking at rebound near 718
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$BTC I'm not sure if you all remember, but in a survey earlier this year, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell was identified as the most trusted U.S. government official in 2025. Now Trump is fighting on multiple fronts—externally with the war against Iran, and internally attacking Powell while signing executive orders for housing reform. Meanwhile, the tariff issue remains a mess, and U.S. oil prices continue to rise, about to break through $100. Looking at Bitcoin data, today $BTC price pulled back partially following the stock market, mainly due to the impact of the war and the closure of the
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GateUser-df2e8be3vip:
2026 Go Go Go 👊
$BTC It's still war, and now the impact of the war is becoming increasingly severe. Yesterday's war against Iran led to disappointing expectations for the Republican midterm elections, with the public blaming Trump more for the rise in oil prices. On the other hand, the surge in oil prices and geopolitical conflicts have already caused the probability of U.S. economic recession to rise from a low of 19% in February to the current 37%. Meanwhile, Trump is still trying to appeal Powell's ruling. It seems the war has escalated beyond Trump's expectations, but for both Trump and the Democrats, th
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Today will release PCE inflation data and GDP growth figures. PCE is the Federal Reserve's primary inflation indicator and is expected to remain steady at 2.9%, the same as last month. Any result higher than this would support a tighter policy and a more hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve at next week's FOMC meeting, as it would indicate that inflation was already rising before the recent surge in oil prices.
Based on the strength of the dollar, the market is currently speculating on this, especially since CPI and PCE are expected to increase next month. Remember that this week's data doe
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$BTC BTC has shown some local strength against the stock market and DXY in recent days, but it remains in a macro downtrend against these indices. BTC/SPX is currently near the upper bound of the bear flag range it formed, and we also have a 3D21EMA positioned here. There's also a 12H bearish divergence ahead. I anticipate a strong reversal from this broader area, potentially targeting the bear flag's range low once again.
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$BTC BTC is still within the critical resistance zone between 72K and 75K, where it is testing the range high and approaching the bear flag high. This is occurring within our broader BTC resistance zone that extends to 72K to 80K. Following this retest, BTC has shown a 4-hour bearish divergence, while USDT dominance has shown a 4-hour bullish divergence. This means caution should be maintained regarding new long positions. Shorting remains more appropriate. Looking at CVD flow, we are seeing significant spot distribution at these levels, with price primarily supported by contract positions.
M
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$BTC I saw an article saying that a poll by Morning Consult shows that 48% of Americans believe Trump is responsible for rising oil prices, with only 16% blaming oil companies, 13% blaming global markets, and 11% blaming former President Biden. Over the past month, as geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran escalated, American gasoline prices rose more than 20%, averaging $3.6 per gallon.
The reason attributed to Trump is mainly that the American public believes Trump personally ordered a military strike against Iran, which directly triggered this Iran conflict and caused disruptions to
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$BTC It goes without saying that the US dollar will underperform over a sufficiently long time frame relative to many assets or indices such as SPX, GOLD, or BTC, because more US dollar paper currency will be printed. However, during certain periods, when the US dollar demonstrates relative strength against global fiat currencies, the dollar can outperform these assets/indices in the short term, which has historically provided good long-term accumulation opportunities.
Over the past few weeks, we have covered many such indices to predict BTC underperformance relative to SPX, RUT, or DXY, whic
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$BTC DXY and EURUSD continue to be the center of our macro analysis, with both following our macro plan from the past few months. We have discussed DXY extensively over the past few days, so there is no need to add more content. In EURUSD, which presents a reverse correlation logically with DXY, a 2-week bearish divergence at the macro range highs has become the top of the index, which I believe will be the top for months/years.
The euro is likely to enter a downtrend relative to the dollar, and historically this has not provided the best returns for speculative markets. This does not necessa
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$BTC DXY has successfully tested the trendline we discussed yesterday, which supports a short-term pullback in the crypto market and a degree of correction in the stock market. The US dollar still heavily depends on the dynamics in the Middle East, but from a technical analysis perspective, it appears likely to test the 100 region again. Today at 8:30 AM Eastern Time, we will release the CPI inflation data, which will also influence the dollar and asset markets.
The headline CPI is expected to be 2.4%, with core CPI at 2.5%, both unchanged from last month, indicating no change in inflation gro
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$BTC The dominance of BTC and USDT has reached the area we discussed yesterday, and there has been a significant reaction from these zones. BTC was rejected from the 70K-71K range, forming a lower high within a broader bear flag, while USDT dominance started to rise from the lower end of the 7.65% range, forming a higher low within its broader bull flag. As previously suggested, my main focus is on how these two flags will develop over the next two weeks.
Whether they remain valid or fail will determine if we see significant volatility in the market, either upward or downward. As long as our
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Compared to BTC, ETH's data isn't as good. At least when prices are rising, BTC experiences net inflow, whereas even during ETH's price increase, the spot ETF still shows net outflows. BlackRock's investors have become the main contributors to the outflow, while a few days ago, Fidelity investors who experienced a large outflow of over 10% made a slight purchase, but $BTC
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$BTC Today, Trump also indeed demanded that Israel cease its strikes on Iran's energy infrastructure. This is the first time since the outbreak of war that the United States has made such a request to Israel, which should be the beginning of a easing of the tense situation between the two sides.
Looking at Bitcoin data, trading volume has decreased, turnover rate has increased, and investor sentiment is relatively poor, especially with the ongoing war. The Strait of Hormuz is still not open, and it is estimated that oil prices will also rise. Market fluctuations are normal under these circum
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There's nothing new; it's still the impact of geopolitical conflicts on the market: during the day, things seemed somewhat better. Both the US and Iran hinted at possible ceasefires, and the Strait of Hormuz also saw some staged movements. But by the evening, the chaos continued. On one hand, it's suspected that Iran has laid mines in the Strait of Hormuz; on the other hand, there are claims that the US escorted oil tankers through the Strait, but in reality, no escort actually took place. It's been like this day after day.
The war has been going on for almost two weeks now, and Iran's resil
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$BTC Recently, many short-term reliefs in the market are related to announcements by G7 countries considering the use of millions of barrels of oil reserves to address oil supply shortages. Additionally, Trump stated that the war could be ending soon and that victory has been achieved. This may be an attempt to lower soaring oil prices, but whether the war is truly ending remains to be seen. The reaction of oil prices has been more impulsive because the ground situation has not changed significantly. Oil fields in the Middle East are still under attack, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, se
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