PurpleAirIsComingHi

March 19 International Political Updates & Market Overview#Gate13周年全球庆典 $ETH
International Political Updates
• Middle East Escalation: Iran's Supreme National Security Council Secretary Larijani assassinated; Iran warns of strikes on Saudi, UAE, and Qatari oil facilities. Israeli Defense Minister claims escalation of conflict, no one is exempt. China's Middle East Envoy Zhai Jun shuttles through multiple countries to promote peace and end war.
• Major Power Dynamics: Trump claims visit to China postponed 5-6 weeks, considering NATO withdrawal and increased Middle East troop deployment. Japan'

==================================
On Tuesday, global markets engaged in a game between Middle East geopolitical conflicts and Fed policy expectations. The dollar index rose then fell, while US Treasury yields declined slightly. Spot gold oscillated in a narrow range around key levels, and silver pulled back somewhat. Oil prices rebounded significantly, supported by supply concerns triggered by Iran's attack on the UAE. US equities gained modestly across the three major indices, with technology stocks showing divergent performance internally and Chinese stocks weakening overall. European major

==================================
Thursday's market focused on Middle East geopolitical risks, with risk-off sentiment driving the trends: the US dollar index posted three consecutive gains, closing up 0.49% at 99.75 and approaching the 100 level, while US Treasury yields fluctuated modestly; pressured by strong dollar and inflation concerns that dampened rate-cut expectations, gold and silver plunged significantly, with gold dropping over $100 during the session; escalating geopolitical conflicts triggered an oil rally, with WTI and Brent crude surging nearly 9% and 8.1% respectively, with B

March 10, 2026, Tuesday Lunar Calendar: 22nd day of the first lunar month
1. State General Administration of Sports: Will earnestly carry out the "Deepening Governance Year" campaign in the sports field and vigorously rectify chaos in the sports "fan circle."
2. In February 2026, residents' consumer prices increased by 1.3% year-on-year, marking the largest year-on-year increase in nearly three years.
3. Domestic oil prices hit their largest increase in four years! Starting from 24:00 on March 9, the prices of 92 and 95 octane gasoline will be raised by 0.55 yuan and 0.58 yuan per liter, respe

Tokenized US stock trading has become an unstoppable trend! The US non-farm payroll data unexpectedly plummeted, causing violent declines in the North American markets. Geopolitical conflicts intensified, pushing oil prices above $100 at one point. Liquidity that was taken away by gold was then snatched by oil again. Assets like BTC faced resistance in rebounding and fell back under pressure!
1. Currently, almost all mainstream exchanges support tokenized US stock trading. This is an unstoppable trend and another major trend. It will become increasingly clear that the survival space for altcoi

The next two years may very well mark the beginning of the next bull market!
The tokenization trend is now led by Wall Street, and the wind finally blows toward the application layer!
The earliest I encountered this concept was in 2018, when the market generally referred to it as chain reform, asset on-chain, followed by the 2020 DeFi boom, blockchain games, and art NFT copyrights going on-chain. In 2021, almost all celebrities worldwide issued NFTs—familiar names in Asia like JJ Lin and Jay Chou were involved, and there were even more well-known artists in Europe and America, including busine

$ETH $GT This time, the Israel-Palestine conflict has shown Bitcoin's "resilience," no longer just a one-sided decline!
The conflict once triggered BTC to drop to around $63,000, liquidating over $300 million in long liquidity, then quickly rebounded and is now consolidating in the $68,000-$69,000 range.
Oil prices surged by 13% to a multi-month high, while gold and silver also rose. Subsequently, all started to decline!
The impact of the conflict is fleeting; if the conflict does not escalate, volatility will narrow, and the buildup is almost complete, about to trigger a big move!
BTC
Support

==================================
On Tuesday, the three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow initially up 0.07%, the S&P 500 up 0.1%, and the Nasdaq up 0.14%. Gold, silver, and copper sectors led the declines. The positive signals from the U.S.-China talks boosted market sentiment, causing crude oil to plunge intraday! The Federal Reserve unexpectedly signaled a dovish stance, while Trump announced the official launch of the U.S.-Japan trade agreement. As risk sentiment recovers and U.S. stocks turn higher, the dollar index retraced most of its intraday gains, reversing in a V

Today’s thoughts are as follows:
1. Currently, market liquidity is extremely scarce, and sudden surges, crashes, and violent spikes are normal phenomena at any time.
2. At this moment, the 1h/2h/4h/8h/1D timeframes are all in a clear downtrend, which is beyond doubt.
3. Both long and short positions can be taken, but chasing shorts during this downward slide is not advisable, and going long is even less so. It’s better to observe—wait for a rally, then dip and spike; do not spike without action.
4. Spot trading has reached a stage where you can start entering with your eyes closed. For example

2.1 Night - 2.2 Day (Corresponding to US time)
Bitcoin
1. Steady pullback entry: Go long around 78,000
2. Solid support entry: Go long around 83,000 (If support is not stable, go short)
3. Break below support entry: Short around 77,000 (If support is not stable, go long)
4. Market rally entry: Short around 80,500
(Stop loss at 500 points — reduce position or hold at 500-700 points or stop trading ))
Second Bitcoin
1. Steady pullback entry: Go long around 2,350
2. Solid support entry: Go long around 2,650 (If support is not stable, go short)
3. Break below support entry: Short around 2,320 (If

U.S. stocks closed on Tuesday, with the Dow down 0.83%, the Nasdaq up 0.91%, and the S&P 500 up 0.41%. Tech stocks mostly rose, with Intel up over 3% and Amazon up over 2%. Near the close, spot gold hit a new high of $5190 per ounce! The crypto market rebounded across the board, with contract markets exploding with shorts. Bitcoin is currently at 💎, up 1.56%, Ethereum broke through $3000, and altcoin sectors showed significant rotation. Stay tuned as EIBO will continue to track key signals such as Federal Reserve policy implementation, institutional fund flows, and on-chain data changes, prov

==================================
US stocks closed Tuesday with the Dow initially down 1.76%, the S&P 500 down 2.06%, and the Nasdaq down 2.39%. According to CME "Fed Watch": the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January is 5%, with a 95% chance of holding rates steady. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by March is 20.6%, with a 78.5% chance of no change, and a 0.9% chance of a total 50 basis point cut. The crypto market declined across the board, with Bitcoin breaking below 90,000 and Ethereum below the 3,000 psychological level. The crypto market remains in a

The next Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced at 3:00 AM on January 29th, Beijing time, on January 28th.
The current expectation is to keep interest rates unchanged! The probability of a rate cut is currently less than 5%!
According to the latest data from CME "FedWatch," the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the January 27-28 meeting is about 5%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 95%.
Additionally, according to Polymarket predictions, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January is about 2.1%, with a 97.4% chance of no change. The probabil

1.9 Evening Outlook (Recommendation 3%, 100x leverage, total position not exceeding 5%):
ETH Short: Dip near 3214 to short, stop loss at 3254, no take profit
ETH Long: Dip near 3063 to go long, stop loss at 3033, take profit at 3089-3147-3214
Remarks:
1. Support below 3013, consider 3%, 100x leverage, place a long order, stop loss at 2974, take profit at 3047-3089-3166
2. Resistance above 3184, consider light position 2%, 100x leverage, test short, or use as initial position entry
3. Do not hold heavy positions, test with light positions, set proper stop losses, avoid getting trapped, find goo

U.S. stocks closed on Monday, with the Dow initially up 1.23%, reaching a new high. The S&P 500 index rose 0.64%, and the Nasdaq increased 0.69%, with most large tech stocks gaining. According to CME "Federal Reserve Watch": the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 18.3%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 81.7%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by March is 43.2%, with a 49.6% chance of no change, and a 7.2% chance of a total 50 basis point cut. Since the beginning of 2026, the cryptocurrency market has sh

$TRUMP As the Maduro couple was raided, Old Trump’s reputation should have peaked!
So it’s reasonable for TRUMP to take the opportunity to plunder the market wave!
Currently, the trend has established support at around 4.85, with 5.95 being a key level. Once this level is broken and stabilized, the subsequent target levels are 7.05/8.85/10.65.
There are two possible trends:
① A normal double bottom followed by a rebound and testing successively
② A direct surge without giving an opportunity to get on board
In both cases, as long as the support at 4.85 is not broken, there is a demand for a reb

==================================
U.S. stocks closed out 2025 with the Dow down 0.63%, marking the eighth consecutive month of gains, with an annual increase of 12.97%; the S&P 500 index fell 0.74%, up 16.39% for the year; the Nasdaq declined 0.76%, up 20.36% for the year, with the three major indices reaching new highs for three consecutive years. Technology stocks all closed lower, with Oracle(ORCL.N) down 1.1%, Tesla(TSLA.O) down nearly 1.04%, and Nvidia(NVDA.O) down 0.55%. According to CME “FedWatch”: the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in Janu

This year's final data: initial jobless claims for the week. Christmas has ended, the New Year begins. October, November, and December mostly saw high openings and lows, with limited impact!
Currently, the US dollar index is at a critical point of reaching new highs again. From February to April 2025, it will fall for two months, erasing the entire 2024 gains. If it hits a new all-time high now, will 2026 see a sharp rally testing bullish momentum and bearish pressure? Or will it directly plunge to test the support levels in the second half of 2025? All remains to be seen with time!
BTC's 2025

==================================
On Tuesday, US stocks rose slightly, with the Dow Jones up by 0.16% and the Nasdaq up by 0.57%. The S&P 500 index increased by 0.46%, with gold, silver, copper, and platinum all reaching historical highs! The US economy grew at its fastest pace in two years in the third quarter; Trump again urged strong statements regarding the Federal Reserve Chairman; the US Treasury Secretary suggested that the Federal Reserve revisit its inflation targets. Despite data showing robust growth in the world's largest economy, it has not changed the market's bets on a

The New Year's bell is about to ring, and a special "New Year gift" is here for you!
Dear Customer:
To thank you for your continued support and companionship, we are excited to welcome the New Year with a special "Year-End Mega Sale · Welcome New 2.5GT/Month" subscription benefit extravaganza!
Event duration: From now until January 3, 2026
Why choose us?
✅ Daily morning and evening market analysis, real-time strategy updates.
✅ Daily evening live broadcasts, as well as communication and sharing of trading technical knowledge, bring you more excitement!
✅ New Year's Day exclusive, don&#