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#永续合约与杠杆交易 Seeing Hyperliquid's clarification statement is quite reassuring. In the high-risk arena of perpetual contracts, transparency and verifiability are the foundations of trust.
Honestly, that previous article raising questions was quite widespread and did cause many to have concerns about derivative trading platforms. But watching Hyperliquid respond to each of the 10 accusations—covering USDC reserves, oracle mechanisms, and future decentralized routes—shows their sincerity in transparency. Especially the line "all fees, balances, and transactions are on-chain visible"—this is the wa

#永续合约市场 The perpetual contract market has been a real roller coaster lately! Bitcoin has been oscillating around the $90,000 mark, Ethereum also fluctuates around $3,000, and the entire network experienced $195 million in liquidations over the past 24 hours, with both longs and shorts being ruthlessly wiped out.
What does this reflect? It indicates that market sentiment is extremely polarized. The Alpha sector and the contract sector are the truly profitable areas, but the dual-edged nature of contracts is becoming more apparent—tokens like $LIGHT, for example, can surge fourfold in a single

#链上支付 Seeing Galaxy Research's 2026 forecast, I was struck by a realization—stablecoin trading volume is expected to surpass the US ACH system. What does this mean? On-chain payments are shifting from "future imagination" to "present reality"!
Even more interesting is that on-chain payments combining DeFi, tokenized assets, and AI are seen as the key to driving the next stage of crypto infrastructure evolution. This is not just a simple technical upgrade but a profound revolution in the payment system. Imagine cross-border remittances no longer requiring layers of intermediary fees, real-time

#稳定币应用与发展 This report from Citibank actually sends a very interesting signal — despite recent volatility in the crypto market, institutional investors on Wall Street are voting with real money to support the long-term development of this industry.
What excites me the most is the strong focus on the stablecoin sector. Circle (the issuer of USDC), as Citibank’s top pick, has a target price of $243, and this is no coincidence. Stablecoins are becoming the "blood" of the Web3 world — connecting traditional finance with decentralized ecosystems, making value flow smooth and transparent. Whether it

#比特币价格预测 Seeing this analysis from Galaxy Research Director, my feeling is: the long-term story of Bitcoin is becoming clearer.
Rising to $250,000 by 2027 sounds bold, but the logic behind it is worth deep thought. Currently, the options market shows an extremely wide price range at the end of 2026 (from $50,000 to $250,000), what does this reflect? It indicates that institutions and the market are pricing in various possibilities rather than betting on a single direction. This precisely shows that Bitcoin is moving toward maturity.
The point I am most optimistic about is: **Bitcoin is becomi

#美联储政策 An interesting signal has arrived! The Bank of Japan will basically keep interest rates low in the first half of next year, which means the global monetary easing environment will continue.
Thinking carefully, what does this mean for the crypto market? When traditional finance is still "loosening the throttle" rather than "braking," the motivation for funds to seek returns remains strong. In a low-interest-rate environment, assets that can generate real returns—such as DeFi protocols, DAO governance tokens, and even high-quality on-chain ecosystems—are more likely to attract the attent

#比特币网络升级 Recently, discussions about the risk of quantum attacks on Bitcoin have been quite interesting, with various voices in the community. Seeing the response from Bitcoin Core lead developer Jameson Lopp, I think this is the most rational attitude—neither overly pessimistic nor blindly optimistic.
Quantum computing is indeed a long-term concern, but there’s no need to panic in the short term. The real test is: if the quantum threat truly materializes, can the Bitcoin network complete upgrades and transformations within 5-10 years? This involves unprecedented challenges such as protocol m

#加密资产投资策略 Now is truly an excellent time to make strategic moves! Listen to what industry insiders have to say—contract volatility, short sellers' struggles, these short-term noises are insignificant in the face of the big trend. The three major positives for the crypto industry next year (policy support, interest rate cuts, financial onboarding) are already on the way, and this is a window that long-term players cannot afford to miss.
The key is mindset. If you want to earn a few thousand dollars, you need to learn to tolerate hundreds of dollars in fluctuations—this is not some profound phi

#比特币市场周期 Seeing Dalio's perspective, I have a slightly different view. He says that Bitcoin is difficult for central banks to hold on a large scale due to transaction transparency and hacking risks. This logic was indeed valid in the past, but the situation is changing now.
The Bitcoin market cycle itself is evolving—from early pure speculation to now, where institutions are gradually entering and exploring national-level asset reserves. This process is essentially a continuous validation of transparency and security. El Salvador has already taken the lead, and micro-level central bank attemp

#Polymarket预测市场 Polymarket's decision to build its own L2 this time is particularly noteworthy.
Honestly, the potential of the prediction market sector has been seriously underestimated. Polymarket migrating from Polygon to build its own POLY L2 may seem like a technical optimization, but it reflects a bigger signal — when an application grows to a certain scale, it needs full control over its infrastructure rather than being constrained by third parties.
This reminds me of the ultimate vision of Web3: true decentralization and autonomy. Previously, Polymarket was affected by Polygon's downti

#比特币价格预测 Bitcoin's oscillation between $86,000 and $92,000 actually reflects a rational adjustment in the market at the end of the year. Watching these intense clashes between bullish and bearish views, I am more interested in the underlying logic.
Forced liquidations, policy uncertainties, weakening corporate buy-in effects—these short-term factors can indeed cause volatility. But if we pull our gaze back from the daily K-line, what truly matters? As the foundational asset of the Web3 world, Bitcoin's value proposition has never changed—serving as a means of value storage and transfer that i

#机构采用与配置 Recently, I came across some analyst predictions and couldn't help but get excited. Bitcoin has stabilized around $84,000 after a pullback from its high, and the relative strength index has fallen below the oversold level—this signal has appeared 5 times in history, and each time it was followed by a bullish trend. If history repeats itself, we could see a surge to $170,000 within three months.
But what truly gives me hope is not just this technical rebound opportunity, but the bigger story behind it. The growth trajectory of crypto ETFs is extremely optimistic, with major brokerages

#比特币ETF资金流入 On-chain data has once again shown some interesting signals. The latest report from CryptoQuant indicates that Bitcoin demand growth is slowing down, which is indeed worth serious consideration. From the US spot ETF to the presidential election, and then to the corporate hoarding craze, these waves of momentum have gradually been released, and now the market has entered a phase of demand re-evaluation.
But there is a key point that is easily overlooked — the expected bear market decline is projected to be the smallest in history. It could fall back from its all-time high by 55%, a

#机构采用 Seeing Arthur Hayes's Maelstrom heavily deploying high-quality altcoins, this signal is extremely important!
The movements of institutional investors often represent the deeper logic of the market. When industry leaders begin systematically bottom-fishing for quality projects, what does it indicate? It shows that they are voting with real money—believing that these undervalued protocols and ecosystems still possess strong fundamentals and growth potential during the bear market.
This actually reflects an important signal of Web3's path toward maturity: **from retail-driven emotional flu

#比特币价格预测 Seeing the latest movements of the whales, I have a bit of a desire to talk with everyone about market psychology.
Honestly, on-chain data and the deployment of large funds often reflect the true expectations of the market. When bearish arguments become less tenable and the market begins to digest those previously negative news, what does that usually mean? It means the market is gathering strength, preparing for a new upward cycle.
Bitcoin surging to $106,000, Ethereum targeting $4,500—these numbers represent more than just prices; they symbolize the ongoing maturation of this decen

#比特币价格与估值 Looking at recent market data, I feel a mix of emotions. Santiment's analysis indicates that the panic on social media is not yet deep enough; Bitcoin might still drop to around $75,000, and the probability of Bitcoin returning to $100,000 within the year on Polymarket has fallen to 10%.
Honestly, short-term price fluctuations can easily unsettle people's minds, but this is also a good time to understand the long-term value of blockchain. Bitcoin has never been determined by one or two market sentiments; its underlying logic—decentralization, fixed supply, censorship resistance—has

#通胀与货币政策 Recently, I came across an interesting technical analysis—both BTC and ETH ratios to Nasdaq have bottomed out, and the RSI indicator shows severe overselling. The underlying implications are worth pondering.
You see, this is not just a technical signal; the deeper logic lies in the changing macro policy environment. The Federal Reserve may restart quantitative easing, directly distribute cash to households, and on-chain migration in securities markets could accelerate… All these point to one direction: the traditional financial system is under pressure, and Bitcoin and Ethereum, as a

#网络钓鱼与欺诈 Recently, I've seen several cases of private key leaks leading to asset theft, and I truly feel for the victims. From fake trading bots hiding malicious code, to the Milk Sad incident spanning over 5 years, and to friends recently losing large sums due to phishing attacks—these all tell us the same harsh truth: in the Web3 world, private key security is the lifeline.
Honestly, I was a bit shocked when I read about Wang Chun's experience. A seasoned industry veteran transferred 500 BTC to test whether his private key was compromised, only to have hackers take away 490 BTC—this is not

#预测市场 Seeing the probability of Bitcoin breaking $100,000 this year on Polymarket drop to 11%, I am thinking this actually reflects a shift in the market’s true expectations for the future trend.
Prediction markets are inherently interesting — they incentivize people to express their judgments about the future with real money, rather than guessing based on feelings. This "money voting" approach naturally filters out noise, turning probability data into a live market sentiment indicator.
From the data, 32% of people are still betting on $95,000, and 24% think it might fall below $80,000 — this

#加密货币监管框架 This news story makes me feel a bit emotional. This case reminds us of an important reality: virtual currencies are inherently neutral technological tools, but if they are exploited by malicious actors for money laundering or illegal currency exchanges, they will inevitably face severe crackdowns. This is not Web3's fault; rather, it reflects the ongoing improvement of the regulatory system.
Actually, we need to understand a core logic — **a truly healthy crypto ecosystem requires a sound regulatory framework**. Why do I say this? Because regulation is not about stifling innovation,