#比特币价格预测 Seeing the debate over Fundstrat's viewpoints, I am reminded of a frequently overlooked investment truth: different forecasting frameworks should inherently have differences.

Sean Farrell emphasizes risk drawdowns, while Tom Lee is optimistic about macro liquidity. This is not a contradiction but a reflection of thinking about the same issue from different dimensions. Just like doctors providing medical advice, a cardiologist and a neurosurgeon might give completely different recommendations, but both are based on their respective expertise. Investing is the same.

What I want to remind everyone is that when you see a forecast range from 60,000 to 200,000, there's no need to rush into choosing which side to believe. More importantly, ask yourself: what strategies correspond to my capital size, risk tolerance, and investment horizon?

Long-term trends and short-term fluctuations of Bitcoin require different responses. If you are a long-term holder, you should focus on macro adoption and liquidity environment; if you care about every correction, risk management frameworks become especially critical. Both perspectives are valuable, and the key is to match them with your actual situation.

Rather than entangling over the correctness of predictions, it’s better to focus on establishing reasonable position management and mindset building. The market will always provide answers, but those answers are reserved for the prepared.