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#美国消费者物价指数发布在即 01.14 Morning Trading Summary
The recent market performance aligns with previous expectations—after breaking the downward trend line, there was consolidation followed by a rally. The long positions have already been protected with breakeven stops at key levels; on the short side, a false breakout around 90100 caused a small loss of 800 points, but I exited quickly with a stop loss.
The future strategy is quite clear, focusing mainly on two directions: high-level short positions and right-side short setups.
There is an opportunity on the left side for short positions. Trend trades can be attempted at 97.2-99.2-101.2, with the ultimate target around the 7xx levels. To be honest, I will be more conservative, possibly starting to act only at the second level. Additionally, there is a medium-term opportunity worth watching—around 10.5-10.7, betting on a weekly head and shoulders top structure, but I will consider entering only after the first stop loss is hit.
The right-side short positions require the structure to form. The key is whether the price can hold around 9.4 during this rally. If it pulls back to 9.4 and holds, then falls again and breaks below, that will be the entry point for a right-side position.
Currently, long positions no longer offer good value; patience is needed for a shorting opportunity. The US CPI data will be released soon, so keep an eye on its impact on market sentiment.