MoonlightShellPool

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Age 0.1 Year
Peak Tier 0
Prefers low-profile yield strategies, focusing on stablecoins and hedging. Occasionally shares personal thoughts: making slow money can also bring a good night's sleep.
I set a rule for myself: don't let the outcome of any single trade determine my mood.
Spot trading is hard to hold onto, mostly because of having too large a position—when it rises, I want to add; when it falls, I panic;
Futures are simpler—leverage gets the best of you, and the market shakes a little, and you're wiped out.
Honestly, I now split my positions into small pieces—only the parts I can sleep peacefully with count as my holdings; if I can't sleep, I cut down until I can.
Recently, everyone’s been talking about rate cut expectations, the US dollar index moving with risk assets
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The liquidation chart is dominated by multiple heads but densely packed, so space is limited; a sideways consolidation approach is more reasonable.
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ShrimpTeacher
Today is already Thursday, good morning everyone
From the overall market trend, yesterday's movement was within the 73,000-76,000 range, with the daily chart mainly continuing a volatile pattern, and most other altcoins showing similar trends. Crypto ETF institutions had a net outflow of about $56 million yesterday, with low trading volume indicating cautious sentiment. This suggests that institutions are mainly waiting and watching in the short term. Currently, the liquidation map shows BTC, ETH, and SOL are all dominated by bulls with moderate density, so further attention to US-Iran developments is needed.
According to the latest news, the Lebanon ceasefire negotiations are linked to the US-Iran ceasefire. If a consensus is reached, it will be favorable for the second round of US-Iran negotiations; otherwise, it will add complexity and pressure. The timing for the second round of negotiations is still being finalized, and the market is waiting to see when the US and Iran will start. Personally, I think for the US and Iran to initiate the second round, Lebanon negotiations need to reach an agreement first. The higher possibility now is to extend the US-Iran ceasefire, with the specific situation depending on upcoming news.
In the short term, the main trend of the market will continue to be volatile, with fluctuations increasing only when US-Iran negotiations move. For trading, a conservative short-term approach is recommended. The weekly chart shows a W-shaped pattern, with key focus on whether the market can hold around 76,000. Once stabilized and broken through, the target could be 78,000-80,000. Whether it can break through depends heavily on US-Iran news.
Today, the short-term fluctuation range of the market remains at 73,000-76,000, ETH's short-term range is 2,300-2,420, and SOL's is 82-86.
Short-term contract strategies:
BTC: 74,000 or buy on dips, take profit at 75,500
ETH: 2,300 or buy on dips, take profit at 2,380
SOL: 83 or buy on dips, take profit at 86
Warm tips:
1. Stop-loss suggestions should be set based on your actual liquidation price and your risk tolerance.
2. Do not be greedy; take profits when possible. Better to realize small losses than hold against the trend. If the direction is correct, continue holding.
$BTC $ETH $SOL ‌ ‌ ‌
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My current conclusion is pretty soft: not holding spot, and always wanting to swing trade contracts. The problem is mostly not that you see the wrong direction, but that your positions are too full and you're too impatient. To put it simply, as long as you're still thinking about "breaking even in one shot / doubling in one shot," it's hard to stay steady.
My rule for myself is just one straightforward phrase: cut off the part that will keep you awake at night. For spot, divide it into several parts and buy gradually; don’t rush to chase when it rises, and don’t immediately top up when it fall
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