GeneralTheoryOfChessKrypto

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No guessing of tops and bottoms, only follow and confirm with pullbacks. Skilled in identifying genuine breakouts and false signals during acceleration phases, as well as reverse testing. Clearly without emotional involvement.
Last weekend until now, just three things to mention
1. Monday daytime, the entire market was bearish, no problem
Saturday rally, Sunday pullback. Monday daytime indicators all bearish, 4-12 hour divergence, everywhere there were voices saying it would break below 70,000.
I also took a short position, resistance at 71,400-71,700, stop-loss at 71,800.
At the same time, I gave a bottoming point: BTC 70,666-70,255 (defense at 70,000), ETH 2,176.
And the result?
ETH bottomed at 2,173, BTC at 70,458.
The bulls won decisively.
2. Reversal at night, those who didn’t set stop-losses su
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From Liquidation to "Senior": My Ten Years in Bitcoin
Once, I was also someone staring at K-lines, countless times wanting to give up.
At three in the morning, my account hit zero, and my phone screen reflected a numb face. That was my third liquidation, with my capital dropping from twenty thousand dollars to zero. Outside the window, it was very quiet, but I felt like the whole world was mocking me.
In 2017, I heard that Bitcoin had risen dozens of times, and with the idea of "turning things around," I jumped in. As you all know—the high point was bought in, then a crash, holding throu
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Five Golden Rules for Trading Discipline
1. Only trade strong assets, using the 60-day moving average as the bullish and bearish dividing line
Price must stabilize above the 60-day line and remain steady before considering entry or adding positions; if it effectively breaks below, exit unconditionally. The key is not in predicting the trend accurately, but in executing decisively.
2. Abandon chasing high during overextended rallies
When a main upward wave exceeds 50% in gains, the expected room for growth has been largely consumed. Chasing at this point offers a poor risk-reward ratio. Ins
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Yesterday, ETH was fluctuating narrowly between 2310 and 2360, closing at 2348 in the early morning, with both upper and lower shadows, and bulls and bears still fighting.
On the daily chart, a hammer candlestick hit 2301 the day before yesterday and then rebounded for two consecutive days; there is indeed buying interest at the 2300 level.
Regarding indicators: the 4-hour MACD just had a golden cross, indicating short-term strength; but the daily MACD still shows bearish divergence, so don’t chase blindly.
Price has broken above EMA7 (2332), so the short-term trend remains upward, but it’s
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Thursday Morning Trading Ideas
Although the short-term bulls have managed to push higher, the continuation is clearly insufficient, so intraday trading is still mainly about selling at higher levels.
Looking back at yesterday’s market, the overall Asian and European sessions maintained a range-bound rhythm. After the US session started, Big Pie (BTC) pulled back to the 73,500 area, stabilized there, and then gradually moved higher. In the early morning hours, it strongly broke through the short-term pressure level, with a peak reaching 75,400. It is currently pulling back and consolidating aro
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🔥ETH Short-term Breakdown: 2/3-hour level faces resistance and pulls back, carving out a "golden pit" below
Market anomalies + technical divergence, the last chance for bulls to jump in?
1. Market Signal: Sparse orders at high levels, buying pressure begins to decline
Looking at the current ETH/USDT order book data:
Prices form a dense order zone around 2320.66, but buy orders in the high region above 2416 are clearly weakening;
The order ratio is only +0.22%, almost balanced between bulls and bears, indicating a lack of enthusiasm for chasing higher;
Latest transactions are conce
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I'm not advising you to quit trading, nor am I trying to show off anything.
I just want to tell you a truth I only truly understood after losing a lot of money myself:
The crypto world is not a casino, but a risk game that can be calculated.
You might think: "Here comes another big shot telling stories."
But I want to ask you first: Have you ever gone all-in with your entire position, then couldn’t sleep at night, staring at the K-line and feeling anxious?
I’ve been there too.
Later, I mentored a beginner named Xiao C (pseudonym).
He started with only $1,200, turned it into $60k
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Bitcoin surged to 76,000 and then oscillated sideways at high levels before declining, with a slight pullback followed by a quick rebound.
Based on the current market trend, although there is a short-term correction demand, it is just pre-boost consolidation, and the overall trend remains unchanged.
On the four-hour chart, the price has stabilized above the midline, and the bearish momentum is weakening. As long as the price does not break below the short-term support levels of 73,500 and 2,300, the outlook remains bullish.
Bitcoin: 74,100-73,500 for phased buying, targeting 75,000-76,000.
Eth
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April 15 Morning Market Brief: BTC/ETH Retreats After Key Resistance, Support Can Be Used for Low Buying
1. Market Review
Last night, BTC bulls surged with increased volume, reaching the important resistance level of 76,000 before encountering resistance and pulling back, accelerating downward in the early morning, with a low of 73,760.
ETH rose in tandem, breaking through the 2,400 level during the session, reaching a high of 2,416 before falling back, with a low of around 2,300 in the early morning.
In external markets, the three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, supported by positive
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Previously, for long positions around the 2175 and 2185 levels, the following actions are recommended:
Close 50%: Lock in partial profits and take the gains;
The remaining 50% position: Move the stop-loss up to 2300 to continue betting on subsequent market movements.
This approach can achieve:
Half of the profits are already secured;
Even if the remaining position is stopped out, the overall profit remains largely intact;
At the same time, it avoids completely missing out on potential future upward moves due to full liquidation.
2. Key Technical Signal Monitoring (Long-Short Reversal Condition
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Look Small
For the long positions entered near 2175 and 2185, the following actions are recommended:
Close 50%: Lock in part of the profits and take the gains;
The remaining 50% position: Move the stop-loss up to 2300 and continue to speculate on the subsequent market movements.
This approach can achieve:
Half of the profits are already secured;
Even if the remaining position is stopped out, the overall profit is still largely retained;
At the same time, it avoids completely missing out on potential future upward moves due to full liquidation.
II. Key Technical Signal Monitoring (Long-Short Re
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Bitcoin Intraday Technical Analysis: Narrow Range Consolidation, Awaiting Direction Confirmation
Intraday Bitcoin price volatility continues to narrow, with the price maintaining a narrow trading range above the 74,000 level. Earlier in the morning, it briefly dipped below the 74,000 support line but quickly recovered, with the lows gradually rising, showing clear signs of short-term stabilization and initial bottom formation signals.
From a four-hour perspective, the previous rally involved increased volume and consecutive bullish candles, completing a bullish rebound. At midday, a doji bulli
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