ArbiterOfFees

The script of liquidity being drained and then rising again has appeared again; it feels like the bulls are holding a big move.

0.024 Setting stop-loss is quite clear; just follow the structure.

Recently, I've seen a bunch of people using "stablecoin supply has increased / ETFs are flowing in again" to infer "so it must rise next." Frankly, correlation does not equal causation; there could be a lot of paths in between: OTC funds switching to stablecoins doesn't necessarily mean immediate buying, it could just be arbitrage, market making reserves, or even preparing leverage interest/margin first. The net inflow into ETFs is the same—on-chain, it might just be driven by sentiment, not necessarily real new capital directly hitting the spot market.
It's the same with macro stuff. Recently

Don't just look at clickbait headlines for governance voting; the execution timeline and on-chain transparency determine whether there will be a dump.

You didn't ask me last night, "Why did I get liquidated unexpectedly even though I didn't leverage?" ... It’s mostly related to oracle price feed delays. The off-chain price has already jumped, but the on-chain feed is still stuck at the previous level. The position health looks fine, but once the feed updates, it’s like someone suddenly flips the table: crossing the liquidation line all at once, with no window to add margin. What’s more annoying is that during this gap, the order of who gets liquidated first, the little "tricks" of MEV, make retail investors feel like: the price I see and the